CLAL - Advisory in Dairy and Food Product

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China: recovery after lockdown and trade agreements with the U.S.

This edition of CLAL Lens aims to quantify:

the recovery of China’s imports after the lockdown implemented to face the spread of Coronavirus, and
the effect of the recent trade agreements with the United States

The information is reported both in terms of volumes and value, with real-time updates.

Check out the China imports with breakdown by dairy product >

Flash Bulletins on the Dairy Market

Reports on specific topics to find engaging answers to market questions

Flash Bulletins on the Dairy Market

Reports on specific topics to find engaging answers to market questions.

November 30, 2018

August 31, 2018

A new Flash Bulletin will be available soon...

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Market News

World

US: Cheese 40# Blocks price	In calo	-0,50%
US: Butter, Grade AA price	In calo	-0,42%
Australia: Milk delivery	In aumento	+0,03%
Malaysia: Palm oil price	In calo	-1,90%
Argentina: Farm gate milk price	In aumento	+5,68%
Argentina: Milk delivery	In aumento	+3,53%

Europe

Czech Republic: Farm gate milk price	In aumento	+0,68%
Romania: Farm gate milk price	In calo	-1,38%
Germany: Skim Milk Powder feed price	In calo	-0,79%
Germany: Skim Milk Powder (Adpi - SMP) price	In calo	-1,15%
DE, Kempten: "Markenbutter" price	In calo	-1,72%
Netherlands: Skim Milk Powder feed price	In calo	-1,57%

Italy

IT, Parma: Churned butter price	In calo	-1,76%
IT, Parma: Parmig. Regg. PDO (30 months) price	In aumento	+0,38%
IT, Parma: Parmig.Regg. (24 months) price	In aumento	+0,40%
IT, Parma: Parmig. PDO Regg. (18 months) price	In aumento	+0,43%
IT, Verona: Spot milk price	In aumento	+2,70%
IT, Verona: foreign Skim Spot Milk price	In aumento	+2,56%

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AGRICULTURAL MARKET News:
PRICES of FEED and FERTILIZERS

Information Note

Market News evidences only the changes; should no price change or no quotation take place, any mention will be made.
The change/variation concerning PRODUCTION/OUTPUT quantity refers to the same period of the previous year.
The change/variation concerning STOCK quantity refers to the previous month.
The change/variation of price refers to PRICES expressed in local currency (for both EU and the World). The change refers to the previous week/month/year, as the case may be. In the case of dual-listed (min and max), changes are calculated using the MAX PRICE.

Show the data of: Previous year Current year

Milk - Balance sheet in Mio Heads and Mio Tons \| Year 2021 (Forecast made in December)
Country	Cows in Milk		Cow Milk Production		Other Milk Production		Fluid Domestic Consumption		Factory Use
World	138.72	+1.2%	539.53	+1.4%	112.29	+1.9%	192.22	+1.4%	454.57	+1.5%
India	58.00	+2.7%	96.00	+2.3%	103.00	+2.0%	83.00	+2.5%	115.99	+1.9%
Share %	41.8%		17.8%		91.7%		43.2%		25.5%
EU-28	22.55	-0.3%	158.10	+0.4%	4.72	+0.2%	33.35	-0.1%	128.53	+0.5%
Share %	16.3%		29.3%		4.2%		17.3%		28.3%
United States	9.40	+0.2%	102.65	+1.6%	0.00	0.0%	21.00	-0.9%	81.07	+2.3%
Share %	6.8%		19.0%		0.0%		10.9%		17.8%
China	6.20	+0.8%	34.50	+4.5%	1.20	+9.1%	13.00	+8.3%	23.65	+2.8%
Share %	4.5%		6.4%		1.1%		6.8%		5.2%
Russia	6.50	-1.2%	31.80	+0.5%	0.00	0.0%	7.12	-1.2%	23.00	+1.0%
Share %	4.7%		5.9%		0.0%		3.7%		5.1%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

Milk - Balance sheet in Mio Heads and Mio Tons \| Year 2021 (Forecast made in June)
World	-	-	-	-	-
India	-	-	-	-	-
EU-28	-	-	-	-	-
United States	-	-	-	-	-
China	-	-	-	-	-
Russia	-	-	-	-	-
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

Milk - Balance sheet in Mio Heads and Mio Tons \| Year 2020
World	137.09	+0.7%	532.25	+1.5%	110.22	+1.9%	189.49	+0.4%	447.84	+2.1%
India	56.45	+3.4%	93.80	+2.0%	101.00	+2.0%	81.00	+2.5%	113.79	+1.6%
Share %	41.0%	17.6%	91.3%	42.6%	25.4%
EU-28	22.63	-1.2%	157.50	+1.5%	4.71	+0.2%	33.40	+0.3%	127.87	+1.7%
Share %	16.4%	29.6%	4.3%	17.5%	28.6%
United States	9.38	+0.4%	101.02	+2.0%	0.00	0.0%	21.20	-0.2%	79.23	+2.6%
Share %	6.8%	19.0%	0.0%	11.1%	17.7%
China	6.15	+0.8%	33.00	+3.1%	1.10	+10.0%	12.00	-9.1%	23.01	+11.3%
Share %	4.5%	6.2%	1.0%	6.3%	5.1%
Russia	6.58	-2.0%	31.65	+1.6%	0.00	0.0%	7.20	-1.0%	22.76	+2.8%
Share %	4.8%	5.9%	0.0%	3.8%	5.1%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

Butter - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2021 (Forecast made in December)
World	0.40	+19.5%	11.46	+2.2%	0.52	+2.4%	0.93	+1.3%	11.06	+3.0%	0.39	-2.0%
India	0.00	0.0%	6.30	+3.3%	0.00	0.0%	0.03	+8.7%	6.28	+3.3%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	55.0%	0.0%	3.2%	56.8%	0.0%
EU-28	0.00	0.0%	2.45	+1.0%	0.01	+25.0%	0.26	0.0%	2.20	+1.2%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	21.4%	1.9%	28.0%	19.9%	0.0%
United States	0.10	+17.4%	0.99	+3.4%	0.07	+4.3%	0.03	0.0%	1.04	+5.1%	0.10	+1.0%
Share %	25.0%	8.6%	13.5%	3.2%	9.4%	25.6%
New Zealand	0.12	+28.0%	0.52	-1.0%	0.00	0.0%	0.50	+5.3%	0.03	0.0%	0.12	-3.4%
Share %	30.0%	4.5%	0.0%	53.8%	0.3%	30.8%
Russia	0.02	+71.4%	0.28	+0.7%	0.12	-9.9%	0.00	0.0%	0.40	+1.3%	0.02	-25.0%
Share %	5.0%	2.4%	23.1%	0.0%	3.6%	5.1%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

Butter - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2021 (Forecast made in June)
World	-	-	-	-	-
India	-	-	-	-	-
EU-28	-	-	-	-	-
United States	-	-	-	-	-
New Zealand	-	-	-	-	-
Russia	-	-	-	-	-
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

Butter - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2020
World	0.33	-7.2%	11.21	+3.6%	0.51	+7.8%	0.92	-1.9%	10.73	+3.4%	0.40	+19.5%
India	0.00	0.0%	6.10	+4.3%	0.00	+∞	0.02	-51.1%	6.08	+4.7%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	54.8%	0.0%	2.1%	57.0%	0.0%
EU-28	0.00	0.0%	2.43	+2.1%	0.00	-75.0%	0.26	+19.3%	2.17	-0.2%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	21.8%	0.0%	27.5%	20.3%	0.0%
United States	0.09	+6.2%	0.96	+6.0%	0.07	+6.1%	0.03	0.0%	0.99	+5.1%	0.10	+17.4%
Share %	25.7%	8.6%	14.1%	3.2%	9.3%	27.7%
New Zealand	0.09	-11.4%	0.53	0.0%	0.00	0.0%	0.47	-7.7%	0.03	+3.4%	0.12	+28.0%
Share %	25.7%	4.8%	0.0%	49.7%	0.3%	33.2%
Russia	0.01	-6.7%	0.28	+3.7%	0.13	+12.0%	0.00	+100.0%	0.40	+2.9%	0.02	+71.4%
Share %	2.9%	2.5%	26.3%	0.0%	3.7%	5.5%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

Cheese - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2021 (Forecast made in December)
World	0.97	+2.0%	21.69	+2.2%	1.50	+1.1%	2.24	+3.7%	20.93	+2.0%	0.99	+1.3%
EU-28	0.00	0.0%	10.45	+1.0%	0.06	-4.8%	0.95	+2.0%	9.56	+0.8%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	48.2%	4.0%	42.4%	45.7%	0.0%
United States	0.60	+0.2%	6.22	+3.6%	0.13	0.0%	0.37	+2.5%	5.95	+3.2%	0.63	+4.3%
Share %	61.9%	28.7%	8.7%	16.5%	28.4%	63.6%
Russia	0.03	-8.6%	1.06	+2.4%	0.30	-3.2%	0.03	0.0%	1.34	+1.7%	0.02	-31.3%
Share %	3.1%	4.9%	20.0%	1.3%	6.4%	2.0%
Brazil	0.00	0.0%	0.76	+1.3%	0.04	+33.3%	0.00	0.0%	0.80	+2.6%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	3.5%	2.7%	0.0%	3.8%	0.0%
Argentina	0.04	-34.4%	0.54	+10.0%	0.00	0.0%	0.06	-14.3%	0.47	+7.3%	0.05	+11.9%
Share %	4.1%	2.5%	0.0%	2.7%	2.2%	5.1%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

Cheese - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2021 (Forecast made in June)
World	-	-	-	-	-
EU-28	-	-	-	-	-
United States	-	-	-	-	-
Russia	-	-	-	-	-
Brazil	-	-	-	-	-
Argentina	-	-	-	-	-
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

Cheese - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2020
World	0.95	+2.7%	21.22	+1.1%	1.49	+4.4%	2.16	+3.3%	20.53	+1.2%	0.97	+2.0%
EU-28	0.00	0.0%	10.35	+1.4%	0.06	0.0%	0.93	+5.9%	9.48	+0.9%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	48.3%	4.2%	43.1%	45.9%	0.0%
United States	0.60	-1.6%	6.00	+0.7%	0.13	-9.4%	0.36	+0.6%	5.77	+0.3%	0.60	+0.2%
Share %	64.0%	28.0%	9.2%	16.7%	27.9%	63.6%
Russia	0.04	-2.8%	1.04	+5.3%	0.31	+13.6%	0.03	+15.4%	1.32	+7.1%	0.03	-8.6%
Share %	4.3%	4.9%	21.9%	1.4%	6.4%	3.2%
Brazil	0.00	0.0%	0.75	-2.6%	0.03	+7.1%	0.00	+33.3%	0.78	-2.4%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	3.5%	2.1%	0.0%	3.8%	0.0%
Argentina	0.06	+113.3%	0.49	-6.7%	0.00	-50.0%	0.07	+14.8%	0.44	+2.6%	0.04	-34.4%
Share %	6.4%	2.3%	0.0%	3.2%	2.1%	4.2%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

SMP - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2021 (Forecast made in December)
World	0.62	+7.7%	4.96	+0.5%	1.46	+6.1%	2.45	+2.2%	4.03	+4.2%	0.55	-9.9%
EU-28	0.00	0.0%	1.83	+1.1%	0.00	0.0%	0.85	+1.2%	0.99	+1.0%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	36.9%	0.0%	34.7%	24.6%	0.0%
United States	0.12	+5.1%	1.16	+1.3%	0.00	0.0%	0.83	+0.6%	0.35	+10.4%	0.11	-13.7%
Share %	19.4%	23.4%	0.0%	33.9%	8.7%	20.0%
India	0.06	+47.6%	0.68	+3.0%	0.00	-100.0%	0.02	+400.0%	0.68	+6.0%	0.05	-24.2%
Share %	9.7%	13.7%	0.0%	0.8%	16.9%	9.1%
New Zealand	0.16	+33.6%	0.39	-3.8%	0.00	-20.0%	0.39	+9.9%	0.01	-9.1%	0.14	-7.1%
Share %	25.8%	7.9%	0.0%	15.9%	0.2%	25.5%
Australia	0.05	-1.8%	0.16	0.0%	0.02	-6.3%	0.13	0.0%	0.05	+2.3%	0.05	-5.6%
Share %	8.1%	3.2%	1.4%	5.3%	1.2%	9.1%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

SMP - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2021 (Forecast made in June)
World	-	-	-	-	-
EU-28	-	-	-	-	-
United States	-	-	-	-	-
India	-	-	-	-	-
New Zealand	-	-	-	-	-
Australia	-	-	-	-	-
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

SMP - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2020
World	0.57	-24.8%	4.94	+3.2%	1.37	-4.6%	2.40	-2.2%	3.87	-2.2%	0.62	+7.7%
EU-28	0.00	-100.0%	1.81	+2.8%	0.00	-50.0%	0.84	-13.2%	0.98	-0.1%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	36.8%	0.0%	34.3%	25.1%	0.0%
United States	0.12	-11.3%	1.14	+3.1%	0.00	0.0%	0.82	+17.0%	0.32	-25.1%	0.12	+5.1%
Share %	21.6%	23.1%	0.0%	33.5%	8.2%	24.2%
India	0.04	+180.0%	0.66	+3.9%	0.00	+∞	0.00	-50.0%	0.64	+6.2%	0.06	+47.6%
Share %	7.2%	13.4%	0.0%	0.0%	16.4%	12.1%
New Zealand	0.12	-0.9%	0.40	+6.7%	0.01	+25.0%	0.36	-4.8%	0.01	+57.1%	0.16	+33.6%
Share %	21.6%	8.1%	0.7%	14.7%	0.3%	32.3%
Australia	0.06	-12.7%	0.16	+3.3%	0.02	+6.7%	0.13	0.0%	0.04	-2.2%	0.05	-1.8%
Share %	10.8%	3.2%	1.5%	5.3%	1.0%	10.1%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

WMP - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2021 (Forecast made in December)
World	0.43	+12.9%	4.88	+1.2%	1.28	+2.1%	2.19	+2.0%	4.03	+3.8%	0.37	-13.8%
New Zealand	0.11	-24.0%	1.54	+2.3%	0.00	+50.0%	1.54	+1.0%	0.02	+11.1%	0.10	-14.9%
Share %	25.6%	31.6%	0.0%	70.3%	0.5%	27.0%
China	0.10	+100.0%	1.20	0.0%	0.72	+3.6%	0.00	0.0%	1.94	+5.4%	0.08	-25.0%
Share %	23.3%	24.6%	56.3%	0.0%	48.1%	21.6%
EU-28	0.00	0.0%	0.77	+1.3%	0.00	0.0%	0.34	0.0%	0.43	+2.4%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	15.8%	0.0%	15.5%	10.7%	0.0%
Brazil	0.00	0.0%	0.58	+1.8%	0.09	+5.9%	0.00	0.0%	0.67	+2.3%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	11.9%	7.0%	0.0%	16.6%	0.0%
Argentina	0.04	+37.9%	0.25	-6.4%	0.00	0.0%	0.16	0.0%	0.10	+2.1%	0.03	-20.0%
Share %	9.3%	5.1%	0.0%	7.3%	2.5%	8.1%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

WMP - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2021 (Forecast made in June)
World	-	-	-	-	-
New Zealand	-	-	-	-	-
China	-	-	-	-	-
EU-28	-	-	-	-	-
Brazil	-	-	-	-	-
Argentina	-	-	-	-	-
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

WMP - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2020
World	0.38	-14.6%	4.83	+5.2%	1.25	+4.2%	2.15	+4.5%	3.88	+2.2%	0.43	+12.9%
New Zealand	0.15	-29.2%	1.50	+0.7%	0.00	-50.0%	1.52	-1.0%	0.02	-10.0%	0.11	-24.0%
Share %	37.1%	29.8%	0.0%	75.0%	0.5%	29.0%
China	0.05	0.0%	1.20	+14.1%	0.69	+2.8%	0.00	0.0%	1.84	+6.8%	0.10	+100.0%
Share %	12.4%	23.8%	59.3%	0.0%	43.8%	26.4%
EU-28	0.00	0.0%	0.76	+2.7%	0.00	-80.0%	0.34	+14.1%	0.42	-5.8%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	15.1%	0.0%	16.8%	10.0%	0.0%
Brazil	0.00	0.0%	0.57	-4.4%	0.09	+39.3%	0.00	+∞	0.65	-0.5%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	11.3%	7.7%	0.0%	15.5%	0.0%
Argentina	0.03	+45.0%	0.27	+42.0%	0.00	-100.0%	0.16	+64.9%	0.10	+14.3%	0.04	+37.9%
Share %	7.4%	5.4%	0.0%	7.9%	2.4%	10.6%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

Global Snapshot

MILK EQUIVALENT | SMP | WMP | BUTTER | CHEESE

Milk Equivalent ('000 Ton)	Δ Milk P.	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Mar 2021 on Jan-Mar 2020
EU-28	-1,1% -456	-28,4% -247	-1,0% -66	+0,8% +297	-934
New Zealand	+4,0% +241	+54,3% +22	+5,2% +274	+1,0% +4	-15
USA	+1,1% +273	-4,1% -16	+12,5% +365	+2,6% +591	-700
Belarus	+1,5% +27	+11,1% +2	+7,5% +74	+1,3% +9	-53
Australia	+0,5% +9	-17,1% -67	+20,4% +165	+1,9% +32	-254
Argentina	+4,8% +114	+99,5% +2	+37,1% +116	+5,8% +96	-96
Uruguay	+6,8% +29	-17,3% -3	+16,0% +50	0% 0	-24
Ukraine	-4,8% -88	+23,5% +23	+50,6% +24	-0,7% -14	-76
Chile	+0,4% +2	+61,8% +88	-24,9% -12	-3,8% -6	+108
TOTAL	*+0,2%* +151	*-9,9%* -196	*+5,8%* +992	*+1,5%* +1.008	-2.045
Last update: 2021-05-28 (e) Estimated data * Import, Export and Consumption data are in Milk Equivalent (ME), comprehensive of WMP, Cheese, SMP+Butter and Liquid Milk. Import and Export data are also comprehensive of Condensed Milk and Yogurt. Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-28: Eurostat, FEGA, DEFRA, AGEA, Zuivel; New Zealand: DCANZ; US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Belarus: National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Belarus; Uruguay: INALE; Argentina: Subsecretaría de Lechería - Ministerio de Agroindustria; Ukraine: State Statistics Committee of Ukraine; Chile: ODEPA. Import/Export: EU-28: Eurostat; New Zealand: Stat.nz; US: Census Bureau. Domestic Consumption: FAS-USDA The domestic consumption changes estimated by the FAS-USDA source are updated every six months (June and December). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

Milk Equivalent ('000 Ton)	Δ Milk P.	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2020 on Jan-Dec 2019
EU-28	+1,6% +2.531	-7,9% -286	-2,2% -594	+0,3% +487	+2.352
New Zealand	+0,4% +84	+4,3% +8	-1,5% -285	+0,6% +10	+367
USA	+2,2% +2.168	-2,4% -43	+10,9% +1.204	+1,2% +1.091	-170
Belarus	+5,0% +372	+14,9% +11	+8,1% +325	-1,5% -40	+98
Australia	+2,9% +254	+5,9% +76	-2,1% -70	+2,7% +178	+222
Argentina	+7,4% +738	-66,4% -26	+31,8% +367	+5,3% +333	+11
Uruguay	+5,4% +110	+34,8% +14	+1,0% +15	0% 0	+110
Ukraine	-4,2% -404	+103,8% +235	-23,2% -89	-3,8% -317	+237
Chile	+6,1% +135	+28,3% +159	-10,9% -18	+12,7% +70	+241
TOTAL	*+1,9%* +5.987	*+1,9%* +147	*+1,3%* +854	*+0,7%* +1.811	+3.468
Last update: 2021-05-28 (e) Estimated data * Import, Export and Consumption data are in Milk Equivalent (ME), comprehensive of WMP, Cheese, SMP+Butter and Liquid Milk. Import and Export data are also comprehensive of Condensed Milk and Yogurt. Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-28: Eurostat, FEGA, DEFRA, AGEA, Zuivel; New Zealand: DCANZ; US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Belarus: National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Belarus; Uruguay: INALE; Argentina: Subsecretaría de Lechería - Ministerio de Agroindustria; Ukraine: State Statistics Committee of Ukraine; Chile: ODEPA. Import/Export: EU-28: Eurostat; New Zealand: Stat.nz; US: Census Bureau. Domestic Consumption: FAS-USDA The domestic consumption changes estimated by the FAS-USDA source are updated every six months (June and December). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

SMP ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2020 on Jan-Dec 2019
EU-28	+1,8% +26	-30,6% -17	-13,1% -129	0% 0	+139
USA	+10,8% +119	+31,6% +0	+16,2% +114	-25,1% -106	+111
New Zealand	+5,5% +20	+95,8% +4	-4,4% -17	+57,1% +4	+37
Australia	-9,9% -15	+7,4% +1	+0,8% +1	-2,2% -1	-14
TOTAL	*+4,8%* +151	*-15,9%* -12	*-1,4%* -30	*-7,8%* -103	+272
Last update: 2021-05-27 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-28: Eurostat, data estimated by CLAL; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of WMP export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-28: Eurostat; New Zealand: Stat.nz; US: Census Bureau. Domestic Consumption: Data calculated by applying the incidence of FAS-USDA consumption (compared to FAS-USDA productions) to the production data (retrieved from local sources). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

SMP ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2019 on Jan-Dec 2018
EU-28	-1,0% -15	>1000% +52	+20,8% +170	-15,0% -148	+15
USA	+3,7% +39	-56,0% -1	-1,5% -11	+14,4% +53	-4
New Zealand	-8,8% -36	+47,6% +1	+4,1% +15	+40,0% +2	-51
Australia	-25,5% -51	+14,3% +2	-17,7% -27	-6,3% -3	-19
TOTAL	*-2,0%* -63	*+267,9%* +55	*+7,2%* +147	*-6,8%* -96	-59
Last update: 2021-05-27 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-28: Eurostat, data estimated by CLAL; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of WMP export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-28: Eurostat; New Zealand: Stat.nz; US: Census Bureau. Domestic Consumption: Data calculated by applying the incidence of FAS-USDA consumption (compared to FAS-USDA productions) to the production data (retrieved from local sources). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

WMP ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2020 on Jan-Dec 2019
New Zealand	+0,8% +12	-51,4% -2	-0,2% -3	-10,0% -2	+15
EU-28	-1,6% -13	-33,9% -14	+9,3% +31	-5,7% -28	-30
USA	-2,0% -1	+61,4% +9	-2,1% -1	+6,5% +3	+5
Australia	+24,1% +9	+15,4% +6	-11,9% -5	+21,2% +7	+13
TOTAL	*+0,3%* +7	*-1,7%* -2	*+1,1%* +22	*-3,4%* -20	+3
Last update: 2021-05-27 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-28: Eurostat, BLE, data estimated by CLAL; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of WMP export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-28: Eurostat; New Zealand: Stat.nz; US: Census Bureau. Domestic Consumption: Data calculated by applying the incidence of FAS-USDA consumption (compared to FAS-USDA productions) to the production data (retrieved from local sources). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

WMP ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2019 on Jan-Dec 2018
New Zealand	+2,6% +38	+108,9% +2	+12,2% +167	0% 0	-126
EU-28	+1,9% +15	>1000% +40	-0,8% -3	+12,5% +54	+4
USA	-2,2% -1	+62,4% +5	-18,4% -9	-9,8% -5	+18
Australia	-40,3% -25	+31,8% +9	-24,0% -13	-5,7% -2	-1
TOTAL	*+1,1%* +26	*+140,0%* +57	*+7,9%* +142	*+8,7%* +47	-106
Last update: 2021-05-27 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-28: Eurostat, BLE, data estimated by CLAL; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of WMP export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-28: Eurostat; New Zealand: Stat.nz; US: Census Bureau. Domestic Consumption: Data calculated by applying the incidence of FAS-USDA consumption (compared to FAS-USDA productions) to the production data (retrieved from local sources). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

BUTTER ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2020 on Jan-Dec 2019
New Zealand	+0,0% +0	-24,6% -0	-8,4% -39	+3,4% +1	+38
EU-28	+2,6% +53	-33,9% -25	+6,0% +18	-0,2% -4	+14
USA	+7,6% +69	+1,1% +1	-13,1% -4	+5,1% +48	+26
Australia	+15,8% +6	+6,3% +2	-9,2% -2	+3,4% +2	+8
TOTAL	*+3,6%* +128	*-12,1%* -22	*-3,2%* -26	*+1,5%* +47	+86
Last update: 2021-05-27 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-28: Eurostat; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of BUTTER export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-28: Eurostat; New Zealand: Stat.nz; US: Census Bureau. Domestic Consumption: Data calculated by applying the incidence of FAS-USDA consumption (compared to FAS-USDA productions) to the production data (retrieved from local sources). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

BUTTER ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2019 on Jan-Dec 2018
New Zealand	-4,6% -25	+35,6% +0	+1,7% +8	0% 0	-33
EU-28	+2,7% +55	+255,7% +53	+92,3% +146	+1,3% +27	-66
USA	+1,3% +12	+17,4% +10	-36,6% -19	+4,7% +42	-1
Australia	-23,4% -12	-3,1% -1	+6,8% +1	-9,2% -6	-8
TOTAL	*+0,8%* +29	*+52,0%* +62	*+19,9%* +136	*+2,1%* +63	-108
Last update: 2021-05-27 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-28: Eurostat; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of BUTTER export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-28: Eurostat; New Zealand: Stat.nz; US: Census Bureau. Domestic Consumption: Data calculated by applying the incidence of FAS-USDA consumption (compared to FAS-USDA productions) to the production data (retrieved from local sources). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

CHEESE ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2019 on Jan-Dec 2018
EU-28	+1,0% +89	+262,8% +155	+66,4% +553	+0,4% +39	-348
USA	+0,8% +45	+2,4% +4	+3,4% +12	+1,4% +77	-39
New Zealand	-1,5% -5	+9,0% +1	+4,0% +13	0% 0	-17
Australia	-0,7% -3	-1,5% -1	-7,0% -12	+1,4% +4	+4
TOTAL	*+0,8%* +126	*+46,0%* +158	*+33,8%* +566	*+0,8%* +120	-401
Last update: 2021-06-17 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-28: Eurostat, CSO, data estimated by CLAL; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of CHEESE export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-28: Eurostat; New Zealand: Stat.nz; US: Census Bureau. Domestic Consumption: Data calculated by applying the incidence of FAS-USDA consumption (compared to FAS-USDA productions) to the production data (retrieved from local sources). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

CHEESE ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2018 on Jan-Dec 2017
EU-28	+0,7% +67	-1,3% -1	+0,5% +4	+0,7% +59	+3
USA	+3,1% +180	-4,0% -7	+2,1% +7	+3,3% +180	-14
New Zealand	-4,4% -17	+2,2% +0	-6,1% -21	-5,0% -2	+7
Australia	+5,5% +19	-15,2% -18	+0,4% +1	+0,7% +2	-1
TOTAL	*+1,6%* +250	*-6,9%* -26	*-0,5%* -9	*+1,6%* +239	-6
Last update: 2021-06-17 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-28: Eurostat, CSO, data estimated by CLAL; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of CHEESE export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-28: Eurostat; New Zealand: Stat.nz; US: Census Bureau. Domestic Consumption: Data calculated by applying the incidence of FAS-USDA consumption (compared to FAS-USDA productions) to the production data (retrieved from local sources). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »


/Ton	US (2021-06-18)		OCEANIA (2021-06-11)		EU¹ (2021-06-16)		GDT² (2021-06-15)
Product	Value	% Chg*	Value	% Chg*	Value	% Chg*	Value	% Chg*
CHEESE	3.290	-0,5%	4.363	-1,4%	3.801	+0,1%	n.a.	-
BUTTER	3.935	-0,4%	4.725	-7,8%	4.801	-2,3%	4.605	-2,1%
SMP	2.855	-0,8%	3.513	-0,7%	3.190	-1,2%	3.346	-3,5%
WMP	3.996	+0,6%	4.075	-1,8%	3.984	-0,6%	3.951	-2,4%
WHEY POWDER	1.370	-2,5%			1.368	-1,0%
MILK (US$/100Kg)	40,57	+5,7%	40,94	-0,6%	43,20	+1,8%
Change from previous price ¹ Prices refer to Germany. Cheese and Milk European (EU-27) prices refer to Milk Market Observatory. ² Contract 2 GDT n.a.*: not available

Show/Hide Global Snapshot in €

/Ton	US (2021-06-18)		OCEANIA (1623362400)		EU¹ (2021-06-16)		GDT² (2021-06-15)
Product	Value	% Chg*	Value	% Chg*	Value	% Chg*	Value	% Chg*
CHEESE	2.756	+1,5%	3.598	-1,3%	3.135	+0,1%	n.a.	-
BUTTER	3.297	+1,6%	3.897	-7,7%	3.965	-1,7%	3.802	-1,4%
SMP	2.355	-0,8%	2.897	-0,6%	2.635	-0,6%	2.763	-2,8%
WMP	3.296	+0,5%	3.361	-1,7%	3.290	0,0%	3.262	-1,7%
WHEY POWDER	1.130	-2,6%			1.130	-0,4%
MILK (€/100Kg)	33,86	+5,0%	34,18	-1,3%	35,57	+0,4%
Change from previous price ¹ Prices refer to Germany. Cheese and Milk European (EU-27) prices refer to Milk Market Observatory. ² Contract 2 GDT n.a.*: not available

FOCUS Price Products € in real time

	Area	Last updated	± from prev. price	± from 1 year ago
Price / Quotation
Whole Milk…
▸ “SPOT”	Italy	14 Jun 2021	+2,1%	+4,1%
▸ farm-gate	EU (13 country)	May 2021	+0,6%	+5,3%
▸ farm-gate	USA	Apr 2021	+5,0%	+15,9%
PDO cheeses…
▸ hard	Italy	17 Jun 2021	0,0%	+23,3%
▸ semi-hard	Italy	14 Jun 2021	0,0%	-0,5%
▸ fresh	Italy	14 Jun 2021	0,0%	0,0%
Cheeses	Germany and Oceania	16 Jun 2021	-0,4%	-1,2%
Butter	Italy, Germany and Oceania	16 Jun 2021	-3,5%	+23,7%
SMP (Skimmed Milk Powder)	Germany, Oceania and USA	16 Jun 2021	-0,1%	+25,4%
Whey powder	Germany and USA	16 Jun 2021	-1,4%	+51,7%
Corn	Italy and USA	15 Jun 2021	+2,5%	+48,0%
Soybeans	Italy and USA	15 Jun 2021	+0,2%	+62,6%
Oil	Europe	11 Jun 2021	+1,1%	+80,8%
Retail price
PDO hard cheeses	Italy	Apr 2021	+1,5%	+0,5%
Fresh cheeses	Italy	Apr 2021	+1,0%	-0,9%
Butter	Italy	Apr 2021	+3,2%	-4,2%

Percentage price changes relate to (i) the last quotation period, and to (ii) the same period of the previous year

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World Supply and Demand

Global Milk Supply in the Key Exporters of Dairy Products: +0,7% (Jan'21 - Apr'21)

Dairy Products Production in some Key Exporting Countries

Milk Powders (WMP and SMP), Butter and Cheese Exports of the main Exporting countries +11,29% (Mar'21 - Apr'21)

BUTTER Stocks
· US Stocks: Apr 30, 2021 174.791 tons (+7.8% on Mar 31, 2021; +3.4% on Apr, 2020)
· EU-28 Public Stocks: Dec 31, 2020 0 tons (-100.0% on Nov 30, 2020; 0.0% on Dec, 2019)
· EU-27
Consumption (Production + Import - Export): Mar 31,2021: 169.733 tons (+8,7% on Feb 28, 2021; +5,1% on Mar, 2020)

SMP Stocks
· US Stocks: Apr 30, 2021 137.008 tons (-4.7% on Mar 31, 2021; -23.1% on Apr, 2020)
· EU-28 Public Stocks: Dec 31, 2020 0 tons (-100.0% on Nov 30, 2020; 0.0% on Dec, 2019)
· EU-27
Consumption (Production + Import - Export): Mar 31,2021 55.117 tons (+22,8% on Feb 28, 2021; -16,6% on Mar, 2020)

CHEESE Stocks
· US Stocks: Apr 30, 2021 659.137 tons (-1.1% on Mar 31, 2021; -1.7% on Apr, 2020)
· EU-27
Consumption (Production + Import - Export): Mar 31,2021 0 tons (+22,8% on Feb 28, 2021; -16,6% on Mar, 2020)
· ITALY

Grana Padano Stocks:
- Marked PDO: May 31, 2021 2.046.223 number of wheels (-3,0% on 30 Apr 2021; +12,4% on May, 2020)
- Total: May 31, 2021 6.121.554 number of wheels (+1,5% on 30 Apr 2021; +3,0% on May, 2020)

DRY WHEY Stocks
· US Stock: Apr 30, 2021 27.426 tons (-5.1% rispetto a Mar 31, 2021; -21.5% rispetto a Apr, 2020)

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Dairy Market Alert

Clal.it outlines hereafter some important changes that occured in the market and may have an impact on the market trend Cheese, Butter, Powder and Packed Milk import and export flows of the main dairy players.

▸ Germany Cheese Export: +17,7% (Mar '21) **
▸ EU-27 Butter Export: -28,4% (Apr '21) **
▸ Mexico Cheese Import: +43,7% (Apr '21) **
▸ EU-27 Milk in packings of <= 2 L Export: +23,7% (Apr '21) **

Show/Hide all ALERT

▸ EU-27 Cream Export: +34,7% (Apr '21) **
▸ Algeria SMP Import: -39,9% (Apr '21) **
▸ Mexico Cream Import: -24,4% (Apr '21) **
▸ Mexico SMP Import: +40,2% (Apr '21) **
▸ EU-27 Milk in packings of > 2 L Export: -63,6% (Apr '21) **
▸ Egypt Butter Import: -67,2% (Jan '21) **

Access the Dairy World Trade section » to analyse more in depth

** Compared to the same month of the previous year (Information Note)

Import or Export changes become “Alerts” if the given thresholds are exceeded: Cream ± 20 %, Milk in packings of > 2 l ± 20 %, Milk in packings of <= 2 l ± 20 %, Baby milk ± 15 %, Butter ± 15 %, Cheese ± 15 %, SMP ± 20 %, WMP ± 20 %, Whey powder ± 40 %

Clal Updates and Publications

CLAL.it provides the Operators with a range of updated information.

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Fonterra sets opening 2021/22 forecast Farmgate Milk Price [The Austral - June 2021]
The Austral news concentrates the latest information on the dairy market in Oceania and South America. Oceania: increase in exports of ... read
Corn and Soybean: prices and market updates | June 2021
CORN USDA released the June update on the Corn and Soybean markets. Agricultural Year 2021/2022 The Beginning Stocks of Corn for the 2021/22... read
Corn and Soybean: prices and market updates | May 2021 [VIDEO]
First USDA Forecast for the 2021-2022 season for the Corn and Soybean markets: global production is estimated to increase, positively ... read

GlobalDairyTrade results of June 15, 2021

Change in Price Index from Previous Event: -1,3 %
Average Winning Price: 4.083 US$ / Ton

	Average price USD / Ton	Change
AMF (Anhydrous Milk Fat)	5.687	+0,6 %
BMP (Butter Milk Powder)	n.a.	-
BUTTER 82%	4.612	-1,7 %
RENNET CASEIN	n.a.	-
CHEDDAR	4.328	+0,2 %
LACTOSE	1.240	+0,4 %
MPC (Milk Protein Concentrate)	n.a.	-
SMP (Skim. milk Powder)	3.356	-1,7 %
SWP (Sweet Whey Powder)	n.a.	-
WMP (Whole milk Powder)	3.997	-1,8 %

Next GlobalDairyTrade Event: July 06, 2021

ITALY: Import/Export as of March 31, 2021

Exports of G.Padano + P.Reggiano:	-7,88 %
Exports of Gorgonzola:	-1,70 %
Exports of Grated cheese:	-2,41 %

Imports of Full-fat bulk milk:	-32,23 %
Imports of Packed semi-skimmed milk:	-32,86 %

Next Update: July 16, 2021

a new project: Sistema Stalla

Performance and Competitiveness of Italian Dairy Farms

CLAL focus on: Gorgonzola

Name:: Gorgonzola Cheese PDO

Consortium:: Consorzio per la Tutela del Formaggio Gorgonzola
Base:: Novara
Establishment year:: 1970
N° of Associated Farms:: 40

Product:: Gorgonzola

This cheese takes its name from the village of Gorgonzola, on the outskirts of Milan. Legend has it that this cheese was made there for first time in 879 A.D.

By law and by tradition there are only two regions in Italy which are entitled to manufacture Gorgonzola cheese, and even within these regions, only some provinces are allowed to produce it.

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Agricultural Market Feed

IT, Milan: Italian Corn price	In calo	-0,74%
IT, Milan: Italian Soybeans flour price	In calo	-2,38%
IT, Milan: Bran price	In calo	-5,18%
IT, Milan: Foreign soybeans price	In calo	-2,76%
IT, Milan: EU barley price	In calo	-2,50%
IT, Milan: Hard wheat (Center Italy) price	In aumento	+0,65%
IT, Milan: Hard wheat (North Italy) price	In aumento	+1,02%
IT, Milan: Italian soybeans price	In aumento	+0,71%

Information Note

Market News evidences only the changes; should no price change or no quotation take place, any mention will be made.
The change/variation concerning PRODUCTION/OUTPUT quantity refers to the same period of the previous year.
The change/variation concerning STOCK quantity refers to the previous month.
The change/variation of price refers to PRICES expressed in local currency (for both EU and the World). The change refers to the previous week/month/year, as the case may be. In the case of dual-listed (min and max), changes are calculated using the MAX PRICE.

Feed Cost

Weight of the Protein Component	40%
Simulated Feed Ration (vs prev month)	-2.69%
Milk:Feed Ratio	1.16

Prices of Fertilizers

I - Modena, Triple superphosphate granular 46%	Stabile	405	€/ton	0.00%
I - Modena, Ammonium nitrate prilled 26%	Stabile	255	€/ton	0.00%
I - Modena, Urea prilled 46%	Stabile	0	€/ton	0.00%

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Butter - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2021 (Forecast made in December)
Country	Beginning Stocks		Production		Import		Export		Consumption		Ending Stocks
World	0.40	+19.5%	11.46	+2.2%	0.52	+2.4%	0.93	+1.3%	11.06	+3.0%	0.39	-2.0%
India	0.00	0.0%	6.30	+3.3%	0.00	0.0%	0.03	+8.7%	6.28	+3.3%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%		55.0%		0.0%		3.2%		56.8%		0.0%
EU-28	0.00	0.0%	2.45	+1.0%	0.01	+25.0%	0.26	0.0%	2.20	+1.2%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%		21.4%		1.9%		28.0%		19.9%		0.0%
United States	0.10	+17.4%	0.99	+3.4%	0.07	+4.3%	0.03	0.0%	1.04	+5.1%	0.10	+1.0%
Share %	25.0%		8.6%		13.5%		3.2%		9.4%		25.6%
New Zealand	0.12	+28.0%	0.52	-1.0%	0.00	0.0%	0.50	+5.3%	0.03	0.0%	0.12	-3.4%
Share %	30.0%		4.5%		0.0%		53.8%		0.3%		30.8%
Russia	0.02	+71.4%	0.28	+0.7%	0.12	-9.9%	0.00	0.0%	0.40	+1.3%	0.02	-25.0%
Share %	5.0%		2.4%		23.1%		0.0%		3.6%		5.1%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2020-12-19

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