CLAL - Germany: dairy sector

NEWS from OCEANIA: dairy market n° 9/2013
(29 April - 10 May 2013) source: USDA

MILK PRODUCTION

New Zealand milk production trends continue to lower and the total 2012-2013* season milk projections are now expected to be slightly lower than last season. For next season farmers are able to position cows to have better conditioning, along with allowing pastures to be in better shape.
Australian milk production is declining due to the impact of weather, feed costs and time of season and trending lower than a year ago levels. There are concerns about getting the herds and pastures in shape for next season.

New Zealand: +2,67 % (Jun 12 - Mar 13 vs. Jun 11 - Mar 12)

Australia: -1,64 % (Jul 12 - Mar 13 vs. Jul 11 - Mar 12)

BUTTER (82%): lower prices from prior period; moderate demand; light offerings volumes of butter 82% and AMF.

CHEDDAR CHEESE: stable prices; moderate offerings; demand light to fair.

SMP: lower prices; demand has backed off but the questions remain on current availability of additional powder and what demand has been idled because of the pricing levels; the gap between NZ medium heat SMP price and US and European SMP continues to narrow.

WMP: lower prices; supplies are light and are expected to remain tight into the news season; demand slowed at the higher prices; some questions remain open: has the market reached the top? Did the fact the May 1 holidays in several countries stifle normal demand? Have buyers reached to other countries for supplies?

Dairy product prices are lower than recent high levels. Demand became more uneven as the pricing levels reached higher points and buyers were reluctant to be in the market at the high prices. Any concerns about Chinese import restrictions are generally being allayed.

Note: · Assessments about market trend are expressed in US$;
· * Dairy season: July, 1st - June, 30th (Australia), June, 1st - May, 31st (New Zealand)

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Germany: dairy sector

This page contains data with regard to some key indicators on the dairy sector over time.

GERMANY (January 1^st - December 31^st)
x 1.000 ton	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012

Raw material area
Number of cows ('000 head)	4.054	4.087	4.229	4.169	4.182	4.190	4.191
Milk production	27.995	28.403	28.656	29.199	29.629
Milk Deliveries	26.821	27.307	27.465	28.248	28.659	29.339	29.702
± % from previous year		+1,8%	+0,6%	+2,8%	+1,5%	+2,4%	+1,2%
Farm-gate milk price in Bavaria 1)	27,52	33,14	35,11	25,27	30,95	34,92	32,92

Dairy production
Liquid milk (Cod.Eurostat MC110)	5.923	5.059	5.132	5.288	5.276	5.238
Cream for direct consumption (Cod.Eurostat MC130)	696	561	554	568	556	547
Acidified Milk (Yoghurt and Other) (Cod.Eurostat MC140)	1.690	1.902	1.887	1.856	1.895	1.913
Milk drinks and desserts (Cod.Eurostat MC150 + MC160)	1.142	1.154	1.074	1.092	1.111	1.134
Butter (Cod.Eurostat MM230)	438	445	465	453	449	474	489
± % from previous year		+1,5%	+4,4%	-2,6%	-0,7%	+5,5%	+3,2%
Cheese (Cod.Eurostat MM241)	1.995	2.019	2.023	2.086	2.169	2.196	2.240
± % from previous year		+1,2%	+0,2%	+3,1%	+4,0%	+1,2%	+2,0%
Condensed milk (Cod.Eurostat MC210)	459	446	416	421	420	412
WMP (whole milk powder) (Cod.Eurostat MM226)	157	170	168	151	166	174	165
SMP (skimmed milk powder) (Cod.Eurostat MM224)	191	232	227	286	259	301	314
± % from previous year		+21,2%	-2,2%	+26,0%	-9,5%	+16,6%	+4,2%
Whey powder (Cod.Eurostat MC273)	344	358	362	341	370	372
Casein and Caseinates (Cod.Eurostat MC260)	9,3	10,7	15,6	11,4	13,0	13,8
Lactose (Cod.Eurostat MC274)	134	165	157	153	175	194

Export
Bulk milk (HS 04011090, HS 04012019 and HS 04012099)	1.448	1.389	1.495	1.402	1.393	1.451	1.234
of which:
- Extra EU	0,3		0,0	0,0	0,2	5,6	2,8
- Intra EU	1.448	1.389	1.495	1.402	1.393	1.445	1.231
of which:
- Whole milk	1.102	1.027	1.074	1.049	1.017	970	833
- Semi-skimmed milk	94	107	118	73	109	137	105
- Skimmed milk	251	255	303	279	267	338	292
Packed milk (HS 04011010, HS 04012011 and HS 04012091)	983	842	851	1.100	1.061	1.021	1.035
of which:
- Extra EU	29,3	34,3	41,0	55	66	91	148
- Intra EU	954	808	810	1.045	994	930	888
of which:
- Whole milk	265	210	207	291	261	259	252
- Semi-skimmed milk	595	521	523	661	654	609	571
- Skimmed milk	94	77	80	93	80	61	65
Condensed milk (HS 040291 and HS 040299)	220	270	291	281	290	283	313
Cream (HS 040130)	158	174	177	187	183	173
Yogurt (HS 040310)	383	385	364	370	376	352
Butter (HS 0405)	79	94	102	93	125	108	119
Cheese (HS 0406) grafico	819	889	916	970	1.026	1.057	1.122
± % from previous year		+8,5%	+3,1%	+5,9%	+5,8%	+3,0%	+6,2%
SMP (skimmed milk powder - HS 040210) grafico	148	195	189	204	223	298	283
± % from previous year		+32,1%	-2,9%	+7,8%	+9,4%	+33,5%	-5,1%
WMP (whole milk powder - HS 040221+040229)	56	47,8	61	56	79	61	55
Whey powder (HS 0404)	485	572	586	581	621	608	638
Casein (HS 350110)	7,8	8,8	7,5	6,7	5,3	5,9	6,9
Caseinates (HS 350190)	26,5	24,1	21,7	19,9	20,6	25,7	25,0
Lactose pharmaceutical (HS 170211)	98	115	114	121	133	155	167
Lactose edible (HS 170219)	4,2	6,1	6,7	7,3	7,3	8,2	9,0

Import
Bulk milk (HS 04011090, HS 04012019 and HS 04012099)	1.361	1.432	1.721	1.736	1.573	1.703	1.607
Packed milk (HS 04011010, HS 04012011 and HS 04012091)	62	54	77	87	64	77	62
Condensed milk (HS 040291 and HS 040299)	51	49,2	60	80	89	80	79
Cream (HS 040130)	176	163	169	145	177	178
Yogurt (HS 040310)	116	143	131	144	143	130
Butter (HS 0405)	176	175	145	130	146	136	133
Cheese (HS 0406)	519	599	622	608	639	669	682
± % from previous year		+15,6%	+3,9%	-2,3%	+5,0%	+4,7%	+2,0%
SMP (skimmed milk powder - HS 040210)	48,6	66	70	56	60	55	55
WMP (whole milk powder - HS 040221+040229)	42,2	49,8	47,2	38,7	37,4	40,9	35,7
Whey powder (HS 0404)	332	567	535	477	598	738	781
Casein (HS 350110)	33,6	32,9	21,6	18,7	15,9	16,0	17,8
Caseinates (HS 350190)	14,3	13,6	11,3	12,4	13,0	13,0	14,2
Lactose pharmaceutical (HS 170211)	13,6	18,2	18,8	22,5	24,2	23,5	18,4
Lactose edible (HS 170219)	1,5	1,7	3,6	4,2	5,5	4,9	6,4

Domestic consumption
Liquid Milk (Cod.Eurostat B4411)	5.335	5.281	5.159	5.137
Cream (Cod.Eurostat B4412)	739	495	488	486
Condensed milk (Cod.Eurostat B4420)	291	354	175	170
WMP (Cod.Eurostat B4430)	139	160	82	65
SMP (Cod.Eurostat B4440)	151	147	144	125
Butter (Cod.Eurostat B4450)	543	523	475	456
Cheese (Cod.Eurostat B4460)	1.737	1.777	1.783	1.814



Population ('000)	82.438	82.315	82.218	82.002	81.802	81.752	81.844

Last Update: 26-03-2013
(p): Provisional 1) fat 3,70% - proteins 3,40%
2) excluded product code N.0402 91 190
Source Raw material area: Eurostat; Number of cows and Milk production: BMELV
Source Dairy production: Eurostat
Source Export: GTIS; Cream, Yogurt: Eurostat
Source Import: GTIS; Cream, Yogurt: Eurostat
Source Domestic consumption and Population: Eurostat

Last update: 2013-03-26

In calo	I -Reggio Em.Parmig.Regg 24 months price	-0,91%
In aumento	I - Thiene, Asiago cheese mature price	+0,78%
In calo	I - Thiene, Asiago cheese fresh price	-0,48%
In calo	I - Milan, Margarine price	-4,50%
In aumento	I - Milan, Pecorino Romano, 5 mo. price	+1,56%
In calo	I - Quartirolo Lomb. Cheese - Production	-4,42%
In calo	I - Parma, Parmig.Regg. 24 months price	-0,92%
In aumento	I- Milan, Italian Soyabeans flour price	+3,75%

In calo	Slovak Republic - Farm gate milk price	-0,63%
In calo	Netherlands - Spot milk price 4,4% fat	-3,18%
In aumento	US - Weekly Europe Brent Spot Price FOB	+2,21%
In aumento	Slovak Rep. - Edam 45% price	+6,34%
In aumento	Slovak Republic - Butter blocks price	+0,51%
In calo	Poland - Edam 42% price	-0,57%
In aumento	Poland - Butter min 82% price	+2,22%
In aumento	D - Hannover, Gouda 45% price	+2,99%

In aumento	US - Cow's milk production	+0,22%
In aumento	US - Acid Casein price	+2,02%
In aumento	US -Whey Protein Concentrate (34%) price	+0,77%
In calo	US - Nonfat Dry Milk Price	-1,71%
In aumento	US - Butter, Grade AA price	+0,31%
In calo	US - Cheese 40 # Blochs price	-4,07%
In calo	Ukraine - Milk production	-0,20%
In aumento	Malaysia - Palm oil price	+1,72%

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